Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.553321 0.628739 0.709341 0.801742 0.904586 1.015378 1.143605
2025-08-24 0.438658 0.543378 0.663754 0.811715 0.987992 1.190554 1.440172
2025-08-31 0.348394 0.467877 0.614808 0.807233 1.050852 1.347128 1.732582
2025-09-07 0.289478 0.418909 0.588214 0.822971 1.136637 1.537451 2.083857
2025-09-14 0.236229 0.367231 0.548932 0.814699 1.187874 1.686677 2.395818
2025-09-21 0.200534 0.333123 0.527189 0.825100 1.262376 1.870527 2.767404
2025-09-28 0.166188 0.294636 0.492734 0.811277 1.298907 2.002806 3.076829
2025-10-05 0.149082 0.279939 0.491203 0.844825 1.405971 2.241920 3.554403
2025-10-12 0.134458 0.266656 0.489501 0.876742 1.511991 2.486048 4.055623
2025-10-19 0.117757 0.246765 0.473833 0.883322 1.577321 2.671770 4.480176
2025-10-26 0.103039 0.227877 0.457009 0.885208 1.633775 2.846000 4.896730
2025-11-02 0.090007 0.209899 0.439150 0.882592 1.681206 3.007521 5.301773
2025-11-09 0.078908 0.194117 0.423611 0.882930 1.734633 3.184318 5.746633
2025-11-16 0.069893 0.181128 0.411646 0.888339 1.797104 3.380194 6.235461
2025-11-23 0.060799 0.166251 0.393807 0.880224 1.833737 3.533688 6.661922
2025-11-30 0.054976 0.157859 0.388141 0.895208 1.914132 3.768227 7.240844
2025-12-07 0.047913 0.145054 0.371188 0.885104 1.945181 3.916031 7.676011
2025-12-14 0.043242 0.137398 0.364524 0.895562 2.016852 4.141598 8.261704
2025-12-21 0.037510 0.125708 0.346907 0.880268 2.035157 4.268663 8.675449
2025-12-28 0.035436 0.123796 0.352178 0.916039 2.160635 4.605172 9.491972
2026-01-04 0.033419 0.121652 0.356570 0.950139 2.284986 4.946354 10.334295
2026-01-11 0.030242 0.115349 0.349630 0.957098 2.351841 5.179101 10.983217
2026-01-18 0.027195 0.108768 0.341023 0.959060 2.407711 5.392914 11.606233